We have the oddest form of government these days in Ontario.
Almost every week there is something new, often new in the
sense of bizarre or absurd. You might regard it as a form of
circus. Dalton the Magnificent, in the blue-white glare of
batteries of spotlights, sometimes appears in tights and
gleaming sequined little pants bowing to the crowd from the
high wire. Other times he appears as ringmaster in white
jodhpurs and boots, cracking his whip and making
announcements about coming acts.
Dalton must have a fellow high-wire man posted on
the roof of Queen's Park whose full-time job is
launching trial balloons. The variety of these has been
remarkable, almost all of them falling limply to earth as
the gas seeps out. My favorite so far was for replacing the
trillium as Ontario's symbol. Yes, that's right, replacing
the trillium, a symbol as well established as the maple leaf
is for the nation, an affectionate symbol of spring's coming
to the province each year. Where, other than as part of a
circus, would this idea be thought worth suggesting? It was
quietly dropped, but you have to ask yourself how it ever
saw the light of day, particularly from a government
supposedly working, sleeves rolled up, late into every night
to solve a massive set of problems with which Ontario is
saddled.
Sometimes, Dalton feels the need to step forward boldly in
his full ringmaster's costume with silk hat and red cutaway
coat, draw his pistol, and shoot down one of these trial
balloons threatening to create a serious hazard. He did this
for the one about the possible need to restrict
public-sector wages. Bang! and Dalton's smoking gun was
re-holstered.
During his first months most of the new announcements were
about election promises he would not be keeping. These
included everything from his written pledge not to increase
taxes and a promise to halt a huge development on the Oak
Ridges Moraine to controlling private tolls on Highway 407
and preventing increases in electricity rates. The odd thing
about these promises was that almost none of them was
necessary for Dalton's election. Polls had shown the people
of Ontario so tired of the right-wing excesses of Mike
Harris that, even though Harris had retired, they were ready
to hand power to the Liberals.

But for some reason, Dalton just went right on making
promises. His behavior suggests an obsessive compulsion to
promise, perhaps not altogether different to the obsessive
compulsion of some people who bankrupt their families while
madly playing at Ontario's shiny new gambling palaces.
Recently we had an announcement about higher results on the
Ontario literacy test given to all grade-ten students.
Naturally, the praises of the Magnificent One Himself were fulsomely included as having brought forth this
fruit. You could almost see him in tights and sequins bowing
and throwing kisses to the crowd. But even a brief analysis
shows the claim as ridiculous, revealing the threadbare
elbows and seat bottom of Dalton's shimmering costume.
I have heard Dalton's Minister of Education answer
questions. Nothing fresh or interesting seems likely ever to
have clouded this politician's mind. Warm slogans and pat
harmless phrases seem to be the extent of his intellectual
resources. These were all delivered in a tone you might
expect from an announcement about a new desk calendar at a
convention for business-form designers. The people asking
questions might just as well have typed them into a computer
equipped with a random-access collection of the minister's
clichés.
But there are more fundamental reasons for regarding
Dalton's words on literacy with the same hopeless cynicism
that readers of Pravda in the old Soviet Union must have
experienced countless times with each new announcement that
some production target in the latest five-year plan had been
met early or exceeded.
The tests in question were administered in October, 2004,
and here was Dalton, elected near the end of October, 2003,
taking credit for an improved result. I hope readers have
some appreciation of the time lags that are necessarily
involved even when governments have good ideas. What amazing
programs did Dalton create, legislate, and put through the
slow and cumbersome educational administrative apparatus,
all in time to influence daily classroom practices of
thousands of teachers almost instantly after his election?
The claim was embarrassing nonsense to anyone who
understands the workings of government and a huge
bureaucracy like Ontario's public schools.
Actual knowledge of the test itself deepens the cynicism.
Anyone without a personal stake in Ontario's professional
public education establishment who has seen these tests
knows they are ridiculous, a holdover from Mike Harris's
pathetic efforts at reforming education.
It would take considerable political courage to eliminate
this pointless test. After all, if you poll the public (as
The Globe and Mail did a while back) on some simple question
about students needing to be literate, you will naturally
get an overwhelmingly positive response. But the nature of
this test and the way it is administered makes it a poor
measure of literacy.
I became familiar with the test and the practices around it
through the experience of our student from China. Although
an extremely bright young man - he since has been accepted
and given a scholarship for a difficult program at
University of Toronto - he failed the written literacy test.
So how does Ontario's educational system manage to pass a
student like ours? The failed student attends an extra
one-term special course, upon completion of which he or she
receives a pass in literacy. It's the kind of thing we used
to call a bird course at university, although a still better
adjective might be Mickey Mouse.
Our student managed to pass the course. Actually,
considering the nature of the material involved, it is hard
to see who would not. It did, however, mark something of an
educational watershed for him. The class was so
mind-numbing, containing mainly academically-weak students
and a teacher who typically drifted off leaving students to
do worksheets, that he dreaded attending it.
We saw his assignments. The truth is our boy's grasp of
English grammar was probably as good as the teacher's. He
just had a vocabulary problem, and nothing in the course
helped him with that.
The test isn't even objective in nature, leaving a great
deal of room for discretion or questionable judgment in the
marking. The marking is itself a bonanza for teams of
teachers who get put up in hotels in Toronto and receive a
handsome daily rate of pay to mark the test. But even were
the test an objective machine-readable one, what would be
the point of it? Teachers would only teach to the test to
get students passed regardless of their understanding.
My wife tells me that forty years ago, a time of demanding
grade-thirteen tests in Ontario, it was common for teachers
to answer a student's question with something along the
lines of, "Don't worry, that's not on the test." Some
readers may have heard of the scandal in Chicago's public
schools not very long ago, desperate to improve their dismal
academic results with tests, when it was discovered some
teachers and principals were actually drilling students to
memorize the correct answers.
If a student can pass a demanding course like Ontario high
schools' English 4U, then any sensible person would regard
him or her as literate without an additional test. If
courses like English 4U have been dumbed down too much in
some places, they need to be toughened up. A test like the
current one for literacy has no effect towards this goal.
Energy is the field in which Dalton has made his most daring
jumps and flips on the high wire. He has copied the abusive
American practice of pushing ethanol into gasoline. Why do I
call it abusive? Because ethyl alcohol has an energy content
about half that of gasoline and it is expensive to make. You
don't make any environmental advance by doing this, you only
raise everyone's costs while assuring people they'll travel
slightly less far on each fill-up and somewhat diminishing
the public's financial ability to take other meaningful
environmental measures.
Then why has the U.S. government encouraged ethanol for many
years? Because it provides a hidden subsidy to corn farmers
as well benefiting firms like Archer Daniels Midland who
process the stuff. The taxes that apply to other motor fuels
are forgiven, at general taxpayers' expense, in order to
boost the incomes of corn farmers. And this is all Dalton's
initiative will do, yet we hear it tiresomely discussed as
an environmental program.
Dalton's promise of greatest potential consequence was the
one to close all of Ontario's coal-fired
electricity-generating stations (about a quarter of the
province's capacity) over just a few years. This promise, if
kept (and there are fleeting signs of Dalton's recognizing
the costly immensity of what he has promised), literally
puts Ontario's economic future at risk. Plentiful,
dependable electricity has always been one of the
attractions of Ontario for manufacturers. Now
a quarter of existing capacity is to be shut down at the
same time that economic growth dictates new capacity.
Southern Ontario's residential home-building industry alone
has been booming, and all those homes require electricity.
Dalton is closing the coal-fired plants because of people's
concern about gases and particulate matter in the air. These
are legitimate concerns and need to be addressed, but
arbitrarily closing Ontario's coal-fired plants by a certain
date is not the way to go about it. First, Southern Ontario
is downwind of more than a hundred coal-fired plants in the
American Midwest. Closing Ontario's plants will not clean
the air. American states like Maine have precisely the same
complaint about the Midwestern plants.
New types of gas-fired plants have some attractive
environmental aspects. But Canada's time of an
over-abundance of gas in Alberta is coming to an end,
especially with huge amounts of it committed to new
extraction and upgrading facilities in the tar sands to
produce synthetic crude oil. Gas prices are high.
Briefly, many months ago, Dalton talked about forty-billion
dollars worth of new nuclear plants. That likely did not go
down well. Nuclear plants in Ontario do not have a happy
history. Some of the nuclear capacity built not all that
many years ago is undergoing expensive refit. The nuclear
talk receded, and we've been getting instead a lot of
happy-child-with-a-daisy stuff about green energy. The ugly
truth is that all the green projects Dalton's government is
undertaking amount to little more than demonstration
projects. They cannot begin to replace the capacity of large
coal-fired plants or provide for future growth.
Many so-called green projects are not all that green,
although they all are expensive. Take wind-generation of
electricity for example. There is nothing green about a
gigantic wind farm on the shores of a lake, regularly
killing flocks of birds. These are gigantic, ugly industrial
projects that create miles of sterilized shoreline. The
single wind turbine Torontonians see at the Exhibition
grounds is not even full size, and you literally need
forests of such machines to produce substantial amounts of
power. Just imagine thousands of much larger ones spreading
like a metal-and-concrete desert along the shores of our
irreplaceable Great Lakes.
Some advocates cite places like parts of Europe, Germany for
example, using this form of energy far beyond what we are
doing. One fact these critics always neglect to mention is
that Germany finds these machines economic because gasoline
there costs twice or more what we pay. Substitution is an
important principle in energy economics, and the high cost
of petroleum products in Europe is reflected in other energy
prices. So the high cost of things like wind power are not
nearly so apparent as they would be here. Moreover, the
Green Party in Europe, a powerful group there, does not like
nuclear power, and that leaves not a lot of options.
If you really want to clean up the air in a place like
Toronto, you must do something about all the cars that choke
it with chemical fumes each day. There are ways to do this,
but they all have implications for the urban sprawl that is
fueling the economy of Southern Ontario. They may even have
implications for the auto industry. We have yet to hear the
bowing and dancing Dalton say anything much on this
important subject.
The nuclear option, probably the only realistic one for
replacing coal-fired capacity, is now the cause for new
releases of trial balloons. Do the people of Ontario truly
want a large addition to the province's nuclear capacity?
And do they understand that these plants will almost
certainly be built and run largely by American firms?
No one understands the full-cycle costs of nuclear power. We
have inklings that it is very expensive when the costs of
permanent disposal of nuclear waste is taken into account. I
wonder whether the people in Toronto - who couldn't wait to
close an ordinary garbage dump, instead sending fleets of
trucks loaded with their garbage over two hundred miles to
Michigan every day (talk about air pollution!) - welcome the
idea of high-level nuclear waste being shipped regularly and
buried somewhere in Ontario for thousands of years. You
really cannot separate this problem from the idea of new
nuclear capacity, although I've yet to hear Dalton on the
subject.
Nuclear has other disadvantages, too, which must be
considered. Remember the recent great blackout caused by an
American firm which had not properly maintained its lines?
(Perhaps one of those same firms which Dalton's plan might
bring here to operate). In some parts of the province,
especially parts of the GTA, it took days to restore power.
That is because nuclear plants, like those just east of the
city, take a relatively long time to bring back online.
Dalton's crackerjack marketing team is now making noises
about a new form of public-private partnership to provide
future improvements in Ontario's infrastructure. Just
exactly what they mean is not clear. What is clear is that
the ringmaster took his pistol to a relatively minor
public-private arrangement, carried over from the
Conservatives, involving hospital equipment. When it came to
the tolls on privately-controlled Highway 407, Dalton
blasted away for weeks, loading and emptying his pistol so
many times the barrel glowed. When all the noise stopped and
the acrid smoke cleared, the tolls stood just where they
were.
Now, after that performance, just who is going to be
interested in signing up with his government on
infrastructure improvements? What costly incentives is
Dalton's government prepared to give companies to get them
interested? We know his minister, coyly teasing us with
suggestions around this latest brainstorm, cannot intend
anything like the deal for Highway 407, and he doesn't
appear to mean the traditional method of financing large
public projects, bonds or debentures, instruments often
purchased by the kinds of institutions, large pension funds,
to which he referred. Maybe Dalton will come out shooting
yet on this one.
I very much regret that the Prime Minister even partially
rewarded Dalton's shabbiest performance to date, his
toe-scrunching weeks of whining about a $23 billion gap in
Ontario's financial arrangements with the federal
government. Dalton only discovered this monstrous gap after
the Prime Minister made concessions to Newfoundland over
revenue sharing. Apparently inspired by Danny William\'s
success at playing petulant, destructive child taking down
the national flag all over his province, Dalton thought he
had found a winning formula by calling into question the
country's traditional financial arrangements.
This is what passes for provincial statesmanship now in
Ontario? Where is the memory of people like John Robarts or
Bill Davis, who, Conservatives though they were, several
times on important matters displayed the genuine trait?
When John McCallum told the public that a good portion of
what the Prime Minister had agreed with Dalton was not new
funding, Dalton got upset enough to describe his words as
"idiosyncratic." My bets are on McCallum who has a doctorate
in economics and who generally knows what he is talking
about. He holds a portfolio one can't see Dalton managing
for a month. Idiosyncratic? That is an odd word for a
politician to use, especially one standing there in tights
and sequined little pants.
John Chuckman, a lifelong student of history, is former
chief economist for a large Canadian oil company. His
writing has appeared in Counterpunch, Media Monitors, Online
Journal, Scoop, and Dissident Voice.